The 2018-2027 education system scenarios of the FSO published on 10th September 2018 confirm that the number of compulsory education pupils should grow at all levels (primary 1-2, primary 3-8 and lower secondary) during the next 10 years.
Mainly due to the increase in the number of births since 2004, the rises expected from 2017 to 2027 according to the reference scenario are as follows:
- at primary level 1-2, +12% (from 171,400 up to 191,900 pupils), continuing the growth observed since 2008;
- at primary level 3-8, +14% (from 489,600 up to 557,600 pupils), extending the increase that began in 2013;
- at lower secondary level, +15% (from 238,300 up to 274,600 pupils), after having reached a minimum during 2016.
At cantonal level the future developments could be quite different from this national pattern, mainly due to the specific demographic dynamics expected in each canton.