Population projections

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In focus

Schweiz-Szenarien

National projections

How big will Switzerland's population be in 2050? Will the number of people of retirement age increase sharply? Will there still be the same number of people of working age?

Kantonale Szenarien

Cantonal projections

Which cantons will have the highest population growth over the next three decades? Could the population of some cantons decline? In which cantons will the proportion of elderly people be highest?

At a glance

Key population development figures for Switzerland and the cantons 2020-2050 according to the reference scenario A(R)-00-2020 1)

 

2020

2050

Total resident permanent population, in thousands

8 688.2

10 440.6

Number of persons under 20 years, in thousands

1 733.0

2 015.7

Number of persons aged 20-64, in thousands

5 314.3

5 752.3

Number of persons aged 65 or over, in thousands

1 640.9

2 672.6

Youth dependency ratio

32.6

35.0

Old-age dependency ratio

30.9

46.5

 

Canton

Variation

Canton with the highest growth between 2020 and 2050 (in %)

Geneva

+30.4

Canton with the highest decline between 2020 and 2050 (in %)

Tessin

-5.1

 

Canton

In %

Canton with the highest percentage of persons aged 65 or over in 2050

Tessin

33.8

Canton with the lowest percentage of persons aged 65 or over in 2050

Geneva

20.4

1) The reference scenario (A-00-2020) describes the growth that seems most plausible in the coming decade.

Youth dependency ratio = the number of 0-19 year olds per 100 people of 20-64 year olds

Old-age dependency ratio = the number of people aged 65 and over per 100 people of 20-64 year olds
Source: FSO - SCENARIO

Contact

Federal Statistical Office Section Demography and Migration
Espace de l'Europe 10
CH-2010 Neuch√Ętel
Switzerland

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